“Pollster who got it right in 2016 says...”

How to spot a bad poll when the narrative says otherwise

A reader named Neil sent along the following article last yesterday and asked “what do you think of this analysis?”

Here’s the article: “Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016: Michigan a Dead Heat

The article is referencing a recent poll from the pollster Robert Cahaly, who does work for the right-leaning firm Trafalgar Group. Their poll showed Biden with a …

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