Online and live-caller polls disagree about Biden’s lead over Trump

The pattern muddies the waters for election forecasters in 2020

Hello loyal readers!

My computer is ticking away on some election models so I thought I’d send you a little note while it finishing thinking.

I have spent a lot of time collecting state-level polling data for the 2020 presidential race over the past week or so. In all my rummaging of PDFs and news reports, I have noticed an interesting, if familiar, patt…

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