If 45% of adults approve of Trump, how many will vote for him?

Polls don’t provide a clear answer

Adam emails:

The NBC poll has Democrats up vs Trump but Trump approval at 47-50. What is up with that? Is this a polling issue or something else? He would be underperforming his approval by 1 to 3 points. I tweeted you about this but there are a lot of comments.

What he points out is super interesting and worth talking about. In the most recent NBC News/…

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