Archive

Good news and also yeah some bad news

"Electability" is a function of your opponent, too. That's bad news for Trump.

August 18, 2019 📊 Will third party voters spoil the 2020 presidential election?

The state of the states in the 2020 Democratic nominating contest

Can early economic conditions predict elections?

August 11, 2019 📊 The end for Joe Biden

What's dividing voters in the 2020 Democratic primary?

August 4, 2019 📊 What’s the chance of a blue Texas?

Gun violence, white nationalism, and Donald Trump

The political science on impeaching Trump

The electoral link in support for impeaching Trump

July 28, 2019 📊 What would a Biden or Warren victory actually mean?

Can we talk about UK polling for a second?

Impeachment looks less likely than ever

July 21, 2019 📊 How Democrats' electoral college disadvantage could grow... or crumble

How overconfidence hurts the polling and forecasting industries

Democrats need at least some swing voters in 2020

A weekend recess

The decline of Bernie Sanders

July 7, 2019 📊 Do we actually know anything concrete (and data-driven) about the state of the 2020 Democratic primary candidates?

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